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They glance at you, maybe even smile for a second, then carry on with their conversation. At this point, Elizabeth Brucha professor of sociology at the University of Michigan, crashes in to your thought process and this news article.

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Yep, she says. Leagues do seem to exist. In fact, most online-dating users tend to message people exactly 25 percent more desirable than they are. Bruch would know. Imagine for a second that you are one of the users Bruch and her colleagues studied—in fact, imagine that you are a very desirable user. Your specific desirability rank would have been generated by two figures: whether other desirable people contacted you, and whether other desirable people responded when you contacted them.

If you contacted a much less desirable person, their desirability score would rise; if they contacted you and you replied, then your score would fall. The team had to analyze both first messages and first replies, because, well, men usually make the first move. But people do not seem universally locked into them—and they can occasionally find success escaping from theirs. Her advice: People should note those extremely low reply rates and send out more greetings.

Michael Rosenfelda professor of sociology at Stanford University who was not connected to this study, agreed that persistence was a good strategy. Across the four cities and the thousands of users, consistent patterns around age, race, and education level emerge. White men and Asian women are consistently more desired than other users, while black women rank anomalously lower. Bruch said that race and gender stereotypes often get mixed up, with a race acquiring gendered connotations.

If this was a site that was 20 percent white, we may see a totally different desirability hierarchy. Especially in New York. Across all four cities, men and women generally tended to send longer messages to people who were more desirable than them.

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Women, especially, deployed this strategy. But the only place it paid off—and the only people for whom it worked with statistically ificant success—were men in Seattle. Across all four cities, men tended to use less positive language when messaging more desirable women. Most people seem to know their position on the hierarchy because they most contact people who rank the same. Popular Latest. The Atlantic Crossword. In Subscribe. A higher desirability rank corresponds to more user interest among the other gender. Bruch et al.

A higher position on the y-axis indicates more generically desirable users.

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Dude, She’s (Exactly 25 Percent) Out of Your League